My take on the decade-old discussion of what a paradigm is, and why that's important (or not) to current debates in risk and disaster reduction.
After recently learning about two different paradigms ("risk" and "resilience") for approaching threats, I am formulating my first thoughts on when we should use one, and when the other way of thinking.
This is the first of several research skills I wish I'd known about before doing research myself. I hope this post will help others to not struggle in the same way!
The one where I take a step back, but ferociously so; again, and again - it feels like I've always been saying the same thing. Anyway, this is what I think you should think about before the end of the year. Please do.
Ich weiß nicht, wie ich diesen Text anfangen soll, ohne dass er klingt wie die jährliche Weihnachtspredigt in meiner Heimats-Gemeinde.Was auch nur insofern schlecht ist, dass ich das Predigen lieber den Priestern lasse, und dass diese Predigten irgendwie immer gleich klingen. Das Format in etwa: X: ein Problem, mit dem sich mittelständige deutsche BürgerInnen (vorzugsweise … Continue reading Advents-Besinnungen
I've recently been reading "The Black Swan" (by Nassim Nicholas Taleb) and "How to Predict Everything" (by William Poundstone), and was stunned by their overlap. Granted, interleaving your reading is probably not the best way to steer clear of confusion, but I would literally read a section on Zipf's law in bed before sleeping to … Continue reading Scalable Randomness
What storytelling has to do with our own need for identity and narrative.
I have been spending a lot of time at Blackwell's, recently. The bookshop as remedy, reading as a cure for the ailments of the mind. This accompanied by a desire to touch, smell, and possess books, which doesn't mean that borrowing books off friends is unattractive, but, still, not quite the same. My kindle rests, … Continue reading The bookshop as remedy
I am kind of confused about what matters. I just watched "The Babushkas of Chernobyl", a documentary about old women who live in the poisonous zone around the Chernobyl reactor. It evoked themes I was somewhat surprised to find in this context (although perhaps less surprised to find in a documentary with that sort of … Continue reading How to count when you’re an animal
After getting a bit lost in the question of whether we should in principle be able to have a clue about future ramifications of our actions, I would like to turn back to questions of how well we're actually doing so far. It looks like, for long-term projections, we are indeed pretty clueless. This document, … Continue reading How good are we at predicting the future?